Everybody and their Grandmas are posting a preview, so I figured I would join the party. This years pairing is the LA
Lakers versus the Orlando Magic.
First of all, big ups to my man D$ who had the courage to predict the Magic to make it when everyone else was picking the
LeBrons. I have to admit, I enjoyed
watching the
NBA's (along with Nike, Vitamin Water and ESPN) dream match-up blow up in their face.
We will go position by position:
Center: Dwight Howard vs. Andrew BynumBynum has struggled a little bit since returning from his knee injury. Howard looked absolutely unstoppable in Game 6 against the
Cavs. It might have been because the
Cavs quit, but he looked really good.
Bynum has not shown to be a game changer on either end of floor while Howard has.
Big Advantage: OrlandoPower Forward: Rashard Lewis vs. Pau GasolLewis has been shooting the lights out from distance this post season and has shown a knack for making big shots. His range will take
Gasol away from the basket and increase offensive rebounding opportunities for the Magic. However, on the other end of the floor, it would appear
Pau has a huge advantage offensively over Lewis. His ability to score down low and hit the mid-range jumper over Lewis should pay huge dividends.
Advantage: LASmall Forward: Hedo Turkoglu vs. Trevor ArizaAt 6-10,
Turkoglu is a tough match-up for any small forward. He can shoot over them or take them to the rim. His ability to hit the three is a huge weapon in his arsenal as well.
Ariza has improved greatly since he left the
Knicks. Then again, who wouldn't?
Ariza is a "high-energy" guy and a fairly decent defender. Depending on how this series goes, Lamar Odom might gets some starts here depending on how the series plays out early.
Advantage: OrlandoShooting Guard: Courtney Lee vs. Kobe BryantI am not going to spend much time on this. Courtney Lee is fairly decent and even though I think
Ko-me is a
butthead, he is one of the greatest players ever.
Big Advantage: LAPoint Guard: Rafer Alston vs. Derek FisherThis one is tough to call. Alston has been huge after he was acquired to replace the injured
Jameer Nelson (more on that later). Other than the stupid head slapping of Eddie House is Rd. 2 he has been a very steadying influence on this team and has shown the ability to hit open shots. Derek Fisher has been around forever and it seems like he is always on teams that go deep into the playoffs. That is not coincidence. The guy is a savvy veteran with a knack for making big shots. I just don't think he can keep up with
Alston.
Slight Advantage: OrlandoBench:Martin
Gortat has played quite well this post season when Howard has needed a rest or was out (see game 6 vs. Philly). Anthony Johnson has played well as Alston's back-up and
Mickael Pietrus has been shooting and defending very well. There have been rumors that
Jameer Nelson might come back for the Finals. I think that would be a spark for the Magic.
LA's bench numbers are slightly skewed since it could be argued that Lamar Odom should be a starter. Odom is one of those guys that is a game changer when he feels like playing and a waste of space when he doesn't. DJ
Mbenga might get some playing time to try to beat up Howard. Luke Walton will get his minutes. Jordan
Farmar plays well in spurts and Sasha
Vuajic can be trouble is he gets hot from the outside.
Advantage: LACoaching: Stan van Gundy vs. Phil JacksonYou have the hyperactive Ron Jeremy look-a-like versus the condescending smugness of Phil Jackson. People have been dogging van
Gundy all during these playoffs, and some people say Orlando got here in spite of him. That may be the case, but here they are. In the interest of full disclosure, I will admit I cannot stand Phil Jackson for reasons too numerous to mention. It is hard to argue with the results though (see 9 NBA Championships).
Big Advantage: LAFinal Analysis:Everyone has been picking the
Lakers and I fully understand why. They have, arguably, the best player and best coach on the planet. However the
Lakers have shown a tendency not to show up for every game. They have lost home court in the last two rounds in games 1 and 2 respectively but have managed to get it back by stealing one on the road. I really think Orlando can win in LA more than once and they did sweep the
Lakers in the regular season. If they do, I am not so sure LA will be able to flip the switch and regain home-court advantage like they have before. I am calling for the upset.
Magic in 6